Simply Economics

Fed’s GDP Downgrade and Inflation Woes: Navigating Economic Uncertainty

The U.S. Federal Reserve downgrades its 2025 GDP growth forecast amid rising inflation and economic uncertainty. Consumer confidence declines as the ISM Manufacturing Index shows contraction. Explore the Fed's cautious strategy on interest rates and potential future cuts to counter economic slowdown. Join us for an in-depth analysis of these developments and their implications.Sources:https://www.noradarealestate.com/blog/goldman-sachs-forecasts-three-fed-interest-rate-cuts-in-2025/https://www.invesco.com/apac/en/institutional/insights/fixed-income/global-fixed-income-strategy-march-2025.htmlhttps://mr-mag.com/q1-estimates-show-likely-shrinking-of-us-economy/https://site.financialmodelingprep.com/market-news/goldman-sachs-forecasts-elevated-us-recession-risk-amid-tariff-concernshttps://www.conference-board.org/podcasts/c-suite-perspectives/How-Badly-Will-Uncertainty-Hurt-US-GDP-Growth-in-2025https://www.investopedia.com/goldman-sachs-projects-three-us-rate-cuts-in-2025-ups-recession-probability-to-35-11705902https://www.morningstar.com/markets/when-will-fed-start-cutting-interest-rateshttps://www.bankrate.com/mortgages/todays-rates/mortgage-rates-for-tuesday-april-1-2025/https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/2025-april.htmhttps://fortune.com/article/current-mortgage-rates-04-01-25/https://www.investopedia.com/goldman-sachs-projects-three-us-rate-cuts-in-2025-ups-recession-probability-to-35-11705902https://www.frbsf.org/news-and-media/events/2025/04/remarks-from-federal-reserve-governor-michael-s-barr-at-2025-fintech-conferencehttps://www.newyorkfed.org/newsevents/speeches/2025/rem250402

Trump’s ’Liberation Day’ Tariffs: A New Era in Trade Policy

President Donald Trump announces the 'Liberation Day' tariff policy, imposing a 15% average tariff on all trading partners. Analysts warn of inflation and market volatility, while global tensions rise as countries prepare retaliatory measures. Explore the potential economic and geopolitical impacts of this bold move.Sources:https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/april-2-liberation-day-what-time-will-trump-announce-reciprocal-tariffs-and-what-to-expect/articleshow/119893915.cmshttps://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/03/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-adjusts-imports-of-automobiles-and-automobile-parts-into-the-united-states/https://www.hindustantimes.com/world-news/donald-trump-tariff-news-live-updates-liberation-day-us-trade-policy-goods-import-duties-global-market-101743528568112.htmlhttps://www.kiplinger.com/taxes/whats-happening-with-trump-tariffshttps://fortune.com/2025/03/31/liberation-day-april-2-donald-trump-tariffs-eu-china-russia/

UK-India Free Trade Agreement Nears Completion

The United Kingdom and India are on the verge of finalizing a comprehensive free trade agreement, marking a significant milestone in their bilateral relations. With 14 rounds of negotiations covering 26 policy areas, both nations aim to enhance economic cooperation and boost trade flows. Key issues include market access for goods and services, with upcoming discussions during India's Finance Minister's visit to London potentially accelerating the deal's completion. Tune in for an in-depth analysis of this pivotal development in international trade.Sources:https://economictimes.com/news/economy/foreign-trade/nirmala-sitharaman-to-visit-london-from-apr-8-10-fta-talks-may-figure-in-meetings/articleshow/119803729.cmshttps://worldview.stratfor.com/article/india-dusts-old-fta-negotiations-ahead-us-tariffshttps://www.financialexpress.com/policy/economy-fta-bit-likely-to-figure-in-fms-uk-engagements-3794759/https://www.ndtvprofit.com/business/nirmala-sitharaman-may-broach-india-uk-fta-talks-during-april-8-10-london-visithttps://cfo.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/fm-sitharaman-to-visit-london-next-week-for-talks-to-bolster-india-uk-economic-ties/119841309https://www.rediff.com/business/report/fta-talks-may-figure-in-sitharamans-london-meetings/20250331.htmhttps://www.tribuneindia.com/news/india/to-boost-ties-sitharaman-to-visit-uk-next-week/amp/?utm=relatedarticles

Japan’s Historic Wage Hike: A New Era for Economic Growth

Japanese companies announce a 5.4% wage increase for 2025, the largest in 34 years, expected to boost consumer spending and economic growth. Explore the implications for Japan's economy, labor market, and monetary policy in this episode of Simply News Radio.Sources:https://quoteddata.com/research/avi-japan-opportunity-reforms-at-a-tipping-point-mc/https://www.ey.com/content/dam/ey-unified-site/ey-com/en-in/insights/tax/economy-watch/documents/2025/03/ey-economy-watch-march-2025.pdfhttps://quoteddata.com/research/avi-japan-opportunity-reforms-at-a-tipping-point-qd/https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/591414-inflation-in-tokyo-easily-topped-analyst-forecasts/https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_Japanhttps://www.mitrade.com/insights/news/live-news/article-1-723583-20250327https://www.fxstreet.com/news/usd-jpy-refreshes-three-week-high-near-15100-despite-correction-in-us-dollar-202503271444https://www.finances.gouv.qc.ca/Budget_and_update/budget/documents/Budget2526_BudgetPlan.pdfhttps://www.mitrade.com/insights/news/live-news/article-1-718301-20250325https://www.lseg.com/content/dam/lseg/en_us/documents/investor-relations/annual-reports/lseg-annual-report-2024.pdfhttps://www.weforum.org/stories/2025/03/oecd-warns-trade-fragmentation-slow-growth-other-international-trade-news-to-read-this-month/https://www.centralbanking.com/central-banks/currency/banknotes/7972571/banknotes-january-to-march-2025https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/keywords/japanhttps://www.magna.com/docs/default-source/financial-reports-public-filings/tax-other-reports/form_40-f.pdf?sfvrsn=8cd50037_13https://www.instagram.com/iaesociety/p/DHtY_k-gzCM/https://www.cloudpay.com/resources/global-payroll-country-expertise-map/https://mowi.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/Mowi-Integrated-Annual-Report-2024.pdfhttps://quoteddata.com/research/avi-japan-opportunity-reforms-at-a-tipping-point-in/https://quoteddata.com/research/avi-japan-opportunity-reforms-at-a-tipping-point-qd/https://www.fxstreet.com/news/usd-jpy-refreshes-three-week-high-near-15100-despite-correction-in-us-dollar-202503271444https://www.ey.com/content/dam/ey-unified-site/ey-com/en-in/insights/tax/economy-watch/documents/2025/03/ey-economy-watch-march-2025.pdfhttps://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/591414-inflation-in-tokyo-easily-topped-analyst-forecasts/https://investsocial.com/node/18574405https://www.mitrade.com/au/insights/news/live-news/article-1-723583-20250327https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_Japanhttps://www.mitrade.com/insights/news/live-news/article-1-718301-20250325https://www.weforum.org/stories/2025/03/oecd-warns-trade-fragmentation-slow-growth-other-international-trade-news-to-read-this-month/https://www.centralbanking.com/central-banks/currency/banknotes/7972571/banknotes-january-to-march-2025https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/keywords/japan

Trump’s Tariff Shake-Up and Gold’s Record Surge

In today's episode, we explore President Trump's announcement of new tariffs targeting major trading partners, aiming to rebalance trade relationships. We also delve into the implications of these tariffs on global trade and the potential for retaliatory measures. Meanwhile, gold prices have hit a record high, driven by geopolitical tensions and strong demand from central banks. Additionally, a CBS News poll reveals growing economic pessimism among Americans, with inflation and recession fears at the forefront. Join us as we unpack these significant developments and their impact on the global economy.Sources:https://abcnews.go.com/Business/tariffs-april-2-prices-economy/story?id=120126876https://www.hklaw.com/en/insights/publications/2025/03/no-april-fools-joke-april-2-tariff-actions-are-expectedhttps://www.businessinsider.com/liberation-day-trump-tariffs-april-2-canada-mexico-imports-2025-3https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/03/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-adjusts-imports-of-automobiles-and-automobile-parts-into-the-united-states/https://stockinvest.us/digest/goldman-sachs-lifts-gold-price-forecast-to-3300-what-traders-need-to-knowhttps://www.tradingview.com/news/te_news:452924:0-gold-surges-to-fresh-high/https://www.litefinance.org/blog/analysts-opinions/gold-price-prediction-forecast/https://www.cbsnews.com/news/what-to-know-before-investing-in-gold-in-2025-according-to-experts/https://www.ubs.com/us/en/wealth-management/insights/market-news/article.2050695.htmlhttps://now.tufts.edu/2025/03/25/why-price-gold-so-highhttps://dailyinvestor.com/investing/83372/gold-soars-amid-us-tariffs/https://www.mining.com/gold-price-sets-new-record-with-3100-in-sight/https://www.dailyforex.com/forex-technical-analysis/2025/03/gold-analysis-24-march-2025/226028https://www.usagold.com/daily-gold-price-history/https://talkmarkets.com/content/commodities/gold-analysis-will-prices-rise?post=488147https://liveindia.tv/business/gold-prices-hit-record-3070-amid-global-uncertainty-and-tariff-fears/https://insurancenewsnet.com/oarticle/gold-analysis-price-stability-signals-a-strong-move-ahead-27-march-2025https://www.investopedia.com/gold-rises-as-goldman-sachs-lifts-year-end-forecast-11704205https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2025-03-28/wall-street-goes-full-bull-tariffs-and-payrolls-looming-main-street-stayshttps://www.ktvq.com/politics/economy/jewelers-see-boom-as-gold-prices-break-recordshttps://traderfactor.com/gold-price-surges-ahead-of-pce-price-index-today-amid-trump-tariffs-tensions/https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidencehttps://www.instagram.com/cbsnews/reel/DHuJonFSMnd/?api=%E9%9F%A9%E5%9B%BD%E4%BB%81%E5%B7%9D%E6%80%8E%E4%B9%88%E6%89%BE%E5%B0%8F%E5%A7%90%E6%9C%8D%E5%8A%A1v%E4%BF%A18764603%E2%96%B7%E9%9F%A9%E5%9B%BD%E4%BB%81%E5%B7%9D%E6%80%8E%E4%B9%88%E6%89%BE%E5%B0%8F%E5%A7%90%E5%85%A8%E5%A5%97%E7%89%B9%E6%AE%8A%E6%9C%8D%E5%8A%A1%E2%96%B7%E9%9F%A9%E5%9B%BD%E4%BB%81%E5%B7%9D%E6%80%8E%E4%B9%88%E6%89%BE%E5%B0%8F%E5%A7%90%E4%B8%8A%E9%97%A8%E6%9C%8D%E5%8A%A1%E2%96%B7%E9%9F%A9%E5%9B%BD%E4%BB%81%E5%B7%9D%E6%80%8E%E4%B9%88%E6%89%BE%E5%B0%8F%E5%A7%90%E8%81%94%E7%B3%BB%E6%96%B9%E5%BC%8F%E2%96%B7%E9%9F%A9%E5%9B%BD%E4%BB%81%E5%B7%9D%E6%80%8E%E4%B9%88%E6%89%BE%E5%B0%8F%E5%A7%90%E4%B8%8A%E8%AF%BE%E7%BA%A6%E6%9C%8D%E5%8A%A1.cjmehttps://www.cbsnews.com/news/consumer-confidence-falls-tariffs-inflation-trump/https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/economy/us-economic-forecast/united-states-outlook-analysis.htmlhttps://www.instagram.com/cbsnews/p/DHt-ihQRKn6/https://www.cbsnews.com/video/americans-economic-outlook-grows-bit-more-pessimistic-poll/https://www.cbsnews.com/video/americans-pessimism-about-the-economy-is-growing-poll-finds/https://www.cbsnews.com/video/new-poll-shows-most-americans-are-concerned-about-the-economy/https://www.instagram.com/cbsnews/reel/DHuJonFSMnd/?locale=es_LAhttps://www.instagram.com/cbsnews/reel/DHuJonFSMnd/?locale=ne_nphttps://www.cbsnews.com/news/consumer-confidence-falls-tariffs-inflation-trump/https://www.cbsnews.com/feature/cbs-news-polls/https://fortune.com/2025/03/25/economy-consumer-confidence-recession-fears-trump-tariffs-spending/https://www.instagram.com/cbsnews/p/DHt-ipRxCOx/https://www.cbsnews.com/video/new-data-shows-american-concern-over-inflation-us-economy/https://www.allianzlife.com/about/newsroom/2025-Press-Releases/Inflation-and-Tariffs-Increasingly-Worrying-Americanshttps://www.cbsnews.com/video/americans-pessimism-about-the-economy-is-growing-poll-finds/https://www.cbsnews.com/video/stocks-plunge-as-new-data-signals-inflation-concerns/https://www.cbsnews.com/video/where-the-economy-is-headed-amid-inflation-worries-and-tariff-impact/https://www.instagram.com/cbsnews/reel/DHuJonFSMnd/?locale=th-THhttps://www.instagram.com/cbsnews/reel/DHuJonFSMnd/?api=Top%2Bpartners%E2%9C%88%EF%B8%8FWe%2Boffer%2Ba%2Bvariety%2Bof%2Bsecure%2Band%2Breliable%2Bsolutions%2Bfor%2BBitcoin%2Band%2Bother%2Bcryptocurrencies..arip

Japan’s Historic Wage Hike, UK-India Trade Talks, and Gold’s Record Surge

In today's episode, we explore Japan's largest wage increase in 34 years and its potential impact on the economy. We also delve into the UK and India's progress towards a free trade agreement and what it means for both nations. Plus, we analyze the factors behind gold's record-breaking price surge and its implications for the global market. Join us for these stories and more on Simply News.Sources:https://www.ey.com/content/dam/ey-unified-site/ey-com/en-in/insights/tax/economy-watch/documents/2025/03/ey-economy-watch-march-2025.pdfhttps://quoteddata.com/research/avi-japan-opportunity-reforms-at-a-tipping-point-mc/https://www.arabnews.jp/en/business/https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/591414-inflation-in-tokyo-easily-topped-analyst-forecasts/https://www.mitrade.com/insights/news/live-news/article-1-718301-20250325https://www.fxstreet.com/news/bojs-ueda-will-adjust-the-degree-of-monetary-easing-if-the-2-inflation-target-is-likely-to-be-achieved-202503240222https://www.dbs.com/content/article/pdf/CIO/2025/202503/CIOInsights2Q25.pdfhttps://www.businesstimes.com.sg/international/global/bank-japan-says-raise-rates-if-price-target-be-achieved-despite-losses-jgbshttps://www.weforum.org/stories/2025/03/oecd-warns-trade-fragmentation-slow-growth-other-international-trade-news-to-read-this-month/https://www.instagram.com/iaesociety/p/DHtY_k-gzCM/https://www.centralbanking.com/central-banks/currency/banknotes/7972571/banknotes-january-to-march-2025https://nbk.com/dam/jcr:891c23bf-8a7f-49da-a812-db91bcc3214b/NBKDailyEconomicUpdate202503023.pdfhttps://www.ncmfinancials.com/market-news/economics/a165e9fa-b2ae-499f-ae87-746f7548f567https://www.rfbnews.com/index.php/en/market-news/currencies/usd-jpy/92657-usd-jpy-refreshes-three-week-high-near-151-00-despite-correction-in-us-dollarhttps://quoteddata.com/research/avi-japan-opportunity-reforms-at-a-tipping-point-mc/https://bilyonaryo.com/2025/03/06/japans-largest-union-group-demands-biggest-wage-hike-in-over-30-years/money/https://quoteddata.com/research/avi-japan-opportunity-reforms-at-a-tipping-point-in/https://nbk.com/dam/jcr:891c23bf-8a7f-49da-a812-db91bcc3214b/NBKDailyEconomicUpdate202503023.pdfhttps://www.nippon.com/en/japan-data/h02346/https://www.mitrade.com/insights/news/live-news/article-1-723583-20250327https://www.actionforex.com/contributors/fundamental-analysis/591414-inflation-in-tokyo-easily-topped-analyst-forecasts/https://www.japantimes.co.jp/business/2025/03/27/japan-wage-growth-data/https://www.bpfnews.com/index.php/en/commodity/135-currencies/market-update-usd-jpy/92491-usd-jpy-refreshes-three-week-high-near-151-00-despite-correction-in-us-dollarhttps://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/research/articles/250324-economic-research-economic-outlook-asia-pacific-q2-2025-u-s-tariffs-will-squeeze-not-choke-growth-13448263https://www.nippon.com/en/news/yjj2025032500398/https://www.ey.com/content/dam/ey-unified-site/ey-com/en-in/insights/tax/economy-watch/documents/2025/03/ey-economy-watch-march-2025.pdfhttps://www.mufgresearch.com/rates/japan-economic-financial-weekly-27-march-2025/https://www.mitrade.com/insights/news/live-news/article-1-718301-20250325https://www.weforum.org/stories/2025/03/oecd-warns-trade-fragmentation-slow-growth-other-international-trade-news-to-read-this-month/https://www.centralbanking.com/central-banks/currency/banknotes/7972571/banknotes-january-to-march-2025https://www.ncmfinancials.com/market-news/economics/a165e9fa-b2ae-499f-ae87-746f7548f567https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/international/global/bank-japan-says-raise-rates-if-price-target-be-achieved-despite-losses-jgbshttps://essfeed.com/india-continues-to-move-forward-with-free-trade-agreements-with-the-uk-and-new-zealand/https://worldview.stratfor.com/article/india-dusts-old-fta-negotiations-ahead-us-tariffshttps://www.tradefinanceglobal.com/posts/india-pushes-ahead-with-free-trade-agreements-with-uk-and-new-zealand/https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cbp-10052/https://money.rediff.com/news/market/india-uk-fta-to-boost-leather-textile-jewellery-exports/24259920250328https://www.devdiscourse.com/article/business/3325807-india-uk-free-trade-agreement-poised-to-boost-key-export-sectorshttps://economictimes.com/news/international/us/gold-price-today-gold-rate-forecast-for-2025-raised-by-experts-and-analysts/articleshow/119601655.cmshttps://www.kitco.com/news/article/2025-03-28/gold-surges-toward-3100-amid-unrelenting-rallyhttps://www.mining.com/gold-price-soars-to-new-high-as-goldman-ups-target-to-3300/https://www.bullionvault.com/gold-news/gold-price-news/gold-record-silver-tightness-032820251https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3QJAUiShVvwhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y7IYB5-eD0Ihttps://now.tufts.edu/2025/03/25/why-price-gold-so-highhttps://bullionexchanges.com/blog/gold-surges-to-all-time-highs-what-s-driving-the-markethttps://insurancenewsnet.com/oarticle/gold-analysis-price-stability-signals-a-strong-move-ahead-27-march-2025https://www.franklintempleton.com/articles/2025/equity/metal-vs-miners-gold-rise-creates-opportunities

U.S. Economic Slowdown and New Tariff Tensions

In today's episode, we delve into the Congressional Budget Office's alarming projections of a long-term U.S. economic slowdown, driven by demographic shifts and rising public debt. We also explore the Trump administration's new tariffs targeting major trade partners, potentially escalating global trade tensions. Plus, we discuss the Reserve Bank of Australia's cautious stance on interest rate cuts amid global uncertainties. Join us for these stories and more on Simply News.Sources:https://www.americanactionforum.org/insight/highlights-of-cbos-march-2025-long-term-budget-outlook/https://www.nuveen.com/en-us/insights/investment-outlook/2025-2q-outlook-the-economy-and-marketshttps://economictimes.com/nri/latest-updates/us-faces-population-decline-by-2033-record-high-debt-and-slower-growth-without-immigration-cbo-warns/articleshow/119625000.cmshttps://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/research/articles/250325-economic-outlook-u-s-q2-2025-losing-steam-amid-shifting-policies-13450076https://www.pgpf.org/article/long-term-budget-outlook-leaves-no-room-for-costly-legislation/https://www.crfb.org/papers/analysis-cbos-march-2025-long-term-budget-outlookhttps://www.marketplace.org/2025/03/27/what-can-the-latest-gdp-numbers-tell-us-about-where-the-economy-is-headed/https://www.cbo.gov/publication/61270https://www.cbo.gov/publication/61265https://www.cbo.gov/publication/60887https://www.cbo.gov/publication/61187https://economictimes.com/nri/latest-updates/us-faces-population-decline-by-2033-record-high-debt-and-slower-growth-without-immigration-cbo-warns/articleshow/119625000.cmshttps://www.ksby.com/us-news/without-immigration-us-suffers-population-decline-starting-in-2033-report-showshttps://www.thefiscaltimes.com/2025/03/27/CBO-Projects-Rising-Debt-Slower-Economic-Growthhttps://www.latimes.com/business/story/2025-03-27/us-economic-growth-to-slow-in-the-next-30-years-fueled-by-debt-and-declining-birth-rates-cbo-sayshttps://northamericancommunityhub.com/us-census-bureau-zero-immigration/https://krcgtv.com/news/nation-world/cbo-us-economic-growth-to-slow-in-next-30-years-fueled-by-debt-declining-birth-rateshttps://www.businessreport.com/article/why-us-economic-growth-is-expected-to-slow-over-the-next-30-yearshttps://budget.house.gov/press-release/chairman-arrington-statement-on-cbo-long-term-budget-outlookhttps://www.cbsnews.com/news/us-economy-slowdown-30-years-debt-declining-birthrate-cbo-report/https://www.cbo.gov/publication/61270https://thecensusproject.org/2025/03/25/2025-media/https://www.cbo.gov/publication/61187https://www.instagram.com/nytimes/p/DHeVipExK9q/?api=%E6%B5%8E%E5%AE%81%E5%85%96%E5%B7%9E%E5%8C%BA%E6%89%BE%E5%B0%8F%E5%A7%90%E4%B8%8A%E9%97%A8%E6%9C%8D%E5%8A%A1%E9%A2%84%E5%AE%9A%EF%BC%88v%E4%BF%A11646224%E7%9C%9F%E5%AE%9E%E4%B8%8A%E9%97%A8%EF%BC%89-%E6%B5%8E%E5%AE%81%E5%85%96%E5%B7%9E%E5%8C%BA%E6%89%BE%E5%B0%8F%E5%A7%90%E5%AD%A6%E7%94%9F%E5%A6%B9%E8%BF%87%E5%A4%9C%E4%B8%8A%E9%97%A8%E6%9C%8D%E5%8A%A1-%E6%B5%8E%E5%AE%81%E5%85%96%E5%B7%9E%E5%8C%BA%E6%89%BE%E5%B0%8F%E5%A7%90%E4%B8%8A%E9%97%A8%E6%8C%89%E6%91%A9%E5%85%A8%E5%A5%97%E6%9C%8D%E5%8A%A1-%E6%B5%8E%E5%AE%81%E5%85%96%E5%B7%9E%E5%8C%BA%E6%89%BE%E5%B0%8F%E5%A7%90%E4%B8%8A%E9%97%A8%E6%8C%89%E6%91%A9%E5%85%A8%E5%A5%97%E8%BF%87%E5%A4%9C%E6%9C%8D%E5%8A%A1-%E6%B5%8E%E5%AE%81%E5%85%96%E5%B7%9E%E5%8C%BA%E6%89%BE%E5%B0%8F%E5%A7%90%E5%AD%A6%E7%94%9F%E5%A6%B9%E4%B8%8A%E9%97%A8%E8%BF%87%E5%A4%9C%E5%85%A8%E5%A5%97%E7%89%B9%E6%AE%8A%E6%9C%8D%E5%8A%A1.oisahttps://www.hklaw.com/en/insights/publications/2025/03/no-april-fools-joke-april-2-tariff-actions-are-expectedhttps://www.schwab.com/learn/story/investors-guide-to-april-tariffshttps://taxnews.ey.com/news/2025-0767-us-president-trump-announces-25-percent-additional-tariff-on-imported-automobiles-and-automobile-partshttps://abcnews.go.com/Business/tariffs-april-2-prices-economy/story?id=120126876https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/03/adjusting-imports-of-automobiles-and-autombile-parts-into-the-united-states/https://www.tradecomplianceresourcehub.com/2025/03/27/trump-2-0-tariff-tracker/https://www.womblebonddickinson.com/us/insights/alerts/trade-update-trump-administration-tariffshttps://www.westpaciq.com.au/economics/2025/03/lucis-rate-call-note-26-march-2025https://www.forexlive.com/centralbank/poll-shows-expectations-are-for-the-reserve-bank-of-australia-to-stay-on-hold-next-week-20250328/https://www.capitaleconomics.com/publications/rba-watch/rbas-easing-cycle-will-be-shallowhttps://www.news.com.au/finance/economy/interest-rates/rba-could-hold-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-due-to-us-president-donald-trumps-tariff-policy/news-story/3902e86eb0d3663d6b1b869198cf28c7https://www.news.com.au/finance/economy/interest-rates/do-not-see-it-happening-expert-reveals-interest-rates-prediction-ahead-of-rba-meeting/news-story/0287759d7e044b2f571a57f68015e116https://www.canstar.com.au/home-loans/rba-meeting-april-2025-predictions/https://www.macrobusiness.com.au/2025/03/rba-readies-may-rate-cut/

U.S. Economy Faces Uncertain Future Amid Conflicting Growth Projections

In today's episode, we delve into the mixed signals surrounding the U.S. economic outlook for the first quarter of 2025. The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta's GDPNow model predicts a contraction, while other forecasts remain optimistic. We explore the factors contributing to this uncertainty, including policy concerns, consumer sentiment, and inflation. Join us as we analyze these developments and discuss key indicators to watch in the coming months.Sources:https://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/research/articles/250325-economic-outlook-u-s-q2-2025-losing-steam-amid-shifting-policies-13450076https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/economy/us-economic-forecast/united-states-outlook-analysis.htmlhttps://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence/press/CCI-Mar-2025https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/gdpnow-or-nowcast/https://www.weforum.org/stories/2025/03/oecd-warns-trade-fragmentation-slow-growth-other-international-trade-news-to-read-this-month/https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/feature/2025/03/26-gdpnowhttps://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/outlook/economic-outlook/fed-meeting-march-2025https://www.tradingview.com/news/macenews:b7e50b7aa094b:0-us-atlanta-fed-gdpnow-estimates-us-q1-gdp-growth-rate-at-1-8-unchanged-after-latest-economic-reports/https://corporate.vanguard.com/content/corporatesite/us/en/corp/articles/investment-economic-outlook-march-2025.htmlhttps://econbrowser.com/archives/2025/03/gdpnow-bouncing-near-zero

Consumer Confidence Plummets: Economic Concerns Rise

In today's episode, we delve into the alarming drop in US consumer confidence as the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index falls for the fourth consecutive month. With the Expectations Index hitting a twelve-year low, we explore the factors driving this decline, including market volatility, inflation concerns, and pessimistic future outlooks. Join us as we discuss the potential impacts on the broader economy and what economists and policymakers will be watching in the coming months.Sources:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/us-consumer-confidence-tumbled-again-in-march-302410584.htmlhttps://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence/press/CCI-Mar-2025https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/ipsos-consumer-confidence-march-2025

Consumer Confidence Plummets Amid Policy Uncertainty

Explore the latest drop in U.S. consumer confidence as the University of Michigan's Index reveals a significant decline, driven by rising policy uncertainty and potential tariffs. Despite robust economic data, consumer sentiment is at its lowest since 2022, with political factors playing a key role. Join us as we delve into the implications of this paradoxical economic landscape and what it might mean for the future.Sources:https://www.mondaq.com/unitedstates/consumer-law/1600396/consumer-sentiment-nosedives-as-us-consumers-try-to-make-sense-of-economic-uncertainty-ankura-monthly-economic-indicators-march-2025https://www.weforum.org/stories/2025/03/consumers-take-fright-at-us-policy-trajectory-and-other-key-economic-news-to-know/https://www.credaily.com/briefs/retail-rebounds-but-consumer-confidence-is-shakier-than-ever/https://www.raymondjames.com/commentary-and-insights/larry-adam/2025/03/21/weekly-investment-strategyhttps://www.nb.com/en/link?type=article&name=cio-weekly-perspectives-wait-and-worry-or-wait-and-seehttps://www.fisherinvestments.com/en-us/insights/videos/fisher-investments-three-things-you-need-to-know-2025-3-24https://theshopmag.com/features/kpi-march-2025-consumer-trends/https://www.raymondjames.com/davidpitre/resources/2025/03/21/weekly-investment-strategyhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jXAMmpyGvp0https://www.conference-board.org/topics/us-leading-indicators/press/us-lei-mar-2025https://www.lightboxre.com/insight/avoid-the-cre-fomo-the-5-leading-news-stories-of-the-week-of-march-17th-21st/https://get.ycharts.com/resources/blog/how-upcoming-consumer-confidence-data-could-influence-market-trends/https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/2025032469/will-the-stock-markets-relief-rally-continue-watch-for-tuesdays-consumer-confidence-data