U.S. Economy Faces Uncertain Future Amid Conflicting Growth Projections

In today's episode, we delve into the mixed signals surrounding the U.S. economic outlook for the first quarter of 2025. The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta's GDPNow model predicts a contraction, while other forecasts remain optimistic. We explore the factors contributing to this uncertainty, including policy concerns, consumer sentiment, and inflation. Join us as we analyze these developments and discuss key indicators to watch in the coming months.

Sources:
https://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/research/articles/250325-economic-outlook-u-s-q2-2025-losing-steam-amid-shifting-policies-13450076
https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/economy/us-economic-forecast/united-states-outlook-analysis.html
https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence/press/CCI-Mar-2025
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/gdpnow-or-nowcast/
https://www.weforum.org/stories/2025/03/oecd-warns-trade-fragmentation-slow-growth-other-international-trade-news-to-read-this-month/
https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/feature/2025/03/26-gdpnow
https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/outlook/economic-outlook/fed-meeting-march-2025
https://www.tradingview.com/news/macenews:b7e50b7aa094b:0-us-atlanta-fed-gdpnow-estimates-us-q1-gdp-growth-rate-at-1-8-unchanged-after-latest-economic-reports/
https://corporate.vanguard.com/content/corporatesite/us/en/corp/articles/investment-economic-outlook-march-2025.html
https://econbrowser.com/archives/2025/03/gdpnow-bouncing-near-zero